TY - RPRT T1 - Effects of a Government-Academic Partnership: Has the NSF-Census Bureau Research Network Helped Secure the Future of the Federal Statistical System? Y1 - 2017 A1 - Weinberg, Daniel A1 - Abowd, John M. A1 - Belli, Robert F. A1 - Cressie, Noel A1 - Folch, David C. A1 - Holan, Scott H. A1 - Levenstein, Margaret C. A1 - Olson, Kristen M. A1 - Reiter, Jerome P. A1 - Shapiro, Matthew D. A1 - Smyth, Jolene A1 - Soh, Leen-Kiat A1 - Spencer, Bruce A1 - Spielman, Seth E. A1 - Vilhuber, Lars A1 - Wikle, Christopher AB -

Effects of a Government-Academic Partnership: Has the NSF-Census Bureau Research Network Helped Secure the Future of the Federal Statistical System? Weinberg, Daniel; Abowd, John M.; Belli, Robert F.; Cressie, Noel; Folch, David C.; Holan, Scott H.; Levenstein, Margaret C.; Olson, Kristen M.; Reiter, Jerome P.; Shapiro, Matthew D.; Smyth, Jolene; Soh, Leen-Kiat; Spencer, Bruce; Spielman, Seth E.; Vilhuber, Lars; Wikle, Christopher The National Science Foundation-Census Bureau Research Network (NCRN) was established in 2011 to create interdisciplinary research nodes on methodological questions of interest and significance to the broader research community and to the Federal Statistical System (FSS), particularly the Census Bureau. The activities to date have covered both fundamental and applied statistical research and have focused at least in part on the training of current and future generations of researchers in skills of relevance to surveys and alternative measurement of economic units, households, and persons. This paper discusses some of the key research findings of the eight nodes, organized into six topics: (1) Improving census and survey data collection methods; (2) Using alternative sources of data; (3) Protecting privacy and confidentiality by improving disclosure avoidance; (4) Using spatial and spatio-temporal statistical modeling to improve estimates; (5) Assessing data cost and quality tradeoffs; and (6) Combining information from multiple sources. It also reports on collaborations across nodes and with federal agencies, new software developed, and educational activities and outcomes. The paper concludes with an evaluation of the ability of the FSS to apply the NCRN’s research outcomes and suggests some next steps, as well as the implications of this research-network model for future federal government renewal initiatives. This paper began as a May 8, 2015 presentation to the National Academies of Science’s Committee on National Statistics by two of the principal investigators of the National Science Foundation-Census Bureau Research Network (NCRN) – John Abowd and the late Steve Fienberg (Carnegie Mellon University). The authors acknowledge the contributions of the other principal investigators of the NCRN who are not co-authors of the paper (William Block, William Eddy, Alan Karr, Charles Manski, Nicholas Nagle, and Rebecca Nugent), the co- principal investigators, and the comments of Patrick Cantwell, Constance Citro, Adam Eck, Brian Harris-Kojetin, and Eloise Parker. We note with sorrow the deaths of Stephen Fienberg and Allan McCutcheon, two of the original NCRN principal investigators. The principal investigators also wish to acknowledge Cheryl Eavey’s sterling grant administration on behalf of the NSF. The conclusions reached in this paper are not the responsibility of the National Science Foundation (NSF), the Census Bureau, or any of the institutions to which the authors belong

PB - NCRN Coordinating Office UR - http://hdl.handle.net/1813/52650 ER - TY - ABST T1 - Sequential Prediction of Respondent Behaviors Leading to Error in Web-based Surveys Y1 - 2017 A1 - Eck, Adam A1 - Soh, Leen-Kiat ER - TY - JOUR T1 - Using Data Mining to Predict the Occurrence of Respondent Retrieval Strategies in Calendar Interviewing: The Quality of Retrospective Reports JF - Journal of Official Statistics Y1 - 2016 A1 - Belli, Robert F. A1 - Miller, L. Dee A1 - Baghal, Tarek Al A1 - Soh, Leen-Kiat AB - Determining which verbal behaviors of interviewers and respondents are dependent on one another is a complex problem that can be facilitated via data-mining approaches. Data are derived from the interviews of 153 respondents of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) who were interviewed about their life-course histories. Behavioral sequences of interviewer-respondent interactions that were most predictive of respondents spontaneously using parallel, timing, duration, and sequential retrieval strategies in their generation of answers were examined. We also examined which behavioral sequences were predictive of retrospective reporting data quality as shown by correspondence between calendar responses with responses collected in prior waves of the PSID. The verbal behaviors of immediately preceding interviewer and respondent turns of speech were assessed in terms of their co-occurrence with each respondent retrieval strategy. Interviewers’ use of parallel probes is associated with poorer data quality, whereas interviewers’ use of timing and duration probes, especially in tandem, is associated with better data quality. Respondents’ use of timing and duration strategies is also associated with better data quality and both strategies are facilitated by interviewer timing probes. Data mining alongside regression techniques is valuable to examine which interviewer-respondent interactions will benefit data quality. VL - 32 IS - 3 ER -